French 100m Record - no longer Lemaitre's

mastermulti

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Jan 13, 2006
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Ok, I've been doing some thinking about Lemaitre's record being lowered to an excellent 9.86 by Vicaut - Back in 2011 I had expected it to get to this mark by about now - but thought Lemaitre might have matured to the point of doing it.
Alas, not to be.
Which got me to wondering how white sprinters generally will progress into the near future. These are some thoughts:

We've seen Lemaitre's best shot. He may still run some good 200s but I feel his 100 chances are now miniscule. Maybe he will show some super response to losing his record .... but I think not.
Kilty - well I still expect to see him run a few 9.9s high in excellent conditions but I'd draw the line there. Reasons - he's strong, reaching peak development, starts like a bullet, has very good acceleration but only reasonable speed. His torso is long v total height (in a photo with his relay mates Akeynes hips are higher even though he is shorter) so his centre of gravity is low and so his footfall can't happen from as great a height as some. His leg speed won't change and I would presume his muscularity among other things will limit his natural length of stride. On the positive side, he trains hard, is hungry and determined. That's why I see some high 9s in his future. Still a great prospect and fantastic team guy.
I think Gemeli will improve to probably low 9.9s and take John Regis' Brit record in the 200.
No Germans excite too much hope in me.
The Asians guys (both China and Japan) make me anticipate good efforts over the next few years. I feel we may have several of them sub10 by 2020.

These are simply my thoughts - anyone else want to chime in?
 

jacknyc

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May 14, 2006
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I pretty much agree with everything you said.
Lemaitre has peaked; Kilty can improve some to sub-10 (admire his determination); Gemeli can improve more to further sub-10; don't think the Germans can get there; some of the Asian sprinters (especially the Japanese kid) are very intriguing and may break 10 flat.
I will only add that Guliyev is still a potential sub-10, but I don't think he is focused enough on the sport, and his training is poor.
John Teeters of the US probably can get there next year. Haven't seen enough of his races to full evaluate him, but his time progression shows he can make it to sub-10 territory.
 

elispeedster

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Feb 14, 2012
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I pretty much agree with everything you said.
Lemaitre has peaked; Kilty can improve some to sub-10 (admire his determination); Gemeli can improve more to further sub-10; don't think the Germans can get there; some of the Asian sprinters (especially the Japanese kid) are very intriguing and may break 10 flat.
I will only add that Guliyev is still a potential sub-10, but I don't think he is focused enough on the sport, and his training is poor.
John Teeters of the US probably can get there next year. Haven't seen enough of his races to full evaluate him, but his time progression shows he can make it to sub-10 territory.

Lemaitre has not peaked, he never peaked. He is blinded by a coach who has no clue in how to train a gifted elite sprinter. A coach that tells Lemaitre strive for 3rd place, you wont catch Bolt, Gay etc...

Kilty is not a sub 10 sprinter...I dont see it happening.
 
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